Moody’s reported that the U.S. cable industry will remain relatively stable despite the global COVID-19 pandemic. The findings also correlated with a recent Nielsen report, which suggested a 60% increase in content consumption during the pandemic, as further evidence that traditional TV viewership will rise. Analyst Jason Cuomo found that the U.S. cable sector has averaged 2.2% better growth than the U.S. GDP and the sector averaged an 8.2% higher revenue growth than the U.S GDP during the last economic downturn in 2018-2019. “Based on these reference points, the directional trends pre-crisis, and our expectation for increased broadband demand, we believe U.S. cable revenue growth is likely to outperform U.S. GDP by a substantial margin,” he wrote in a research note.
This week, Comcast announced that its linear video consumption increased 4 hours to 64 hours per week and that video-on-demand is increasing by 25% year after year. The company also mentioned that there has been a 38% increase in streaming and web video consumption. AT&T also released data that revealed a similar rise in video consumption on its video services, including DirecTV and AT&T TV. The company’s live viewing was up by 15% and free video-on-demand was up by almost 25% on 16-2- March, compared to 2-6 March. “Spikes in viewership of cable news is further support, and helps offset sports cancellations, which is the most-watched live TV content and draws the highest advertising rates,” Cuomo wrote.
The research also indicates a rise in viewing for entertainment programming, as well as a spike in subscription and on-demand service purchasing as a result of theatres shutting down. “During this temporary shutdown, we expect people to spend their movie budgets on over-the-top (OTT) streaming services offered by subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) providers, advertising video-on-demand (AVOD), and direct-to-consumer (DTC) providers as well as linear, video-on-demand services offered by cable operators,” he wrote. Despite the rise, companies like Comcast/NBCUniversal are being hurt in divisions outside of the cable. Comcast CEO Brian Roberts said the company is offering $500 million to support employees who were affected by the closure of theme parks and delayed release of theatrical films due to the coronavirus.
Based on these reference points, the directional trends pre-crisis, and our expectation for increased broadband demand, we believe U.S. cable revenue growth is likely to outperform U.S. GDP by a substantial margin. ” Jason Cuomo Analyst